The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bayern Munich | Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 3 |
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| xPTS | 11 | 8.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.0 | +1.2 |
| xG per match | 3.33 | 2.16 |
| xGA per match | 0.75 | 1.01 |
| Scored | 14 | 12 |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
By quality of play Bayern Munich is ahead: 11.0 xPTS against 8.8. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Bayern Munich: −1.0, Freiburg: +1.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bayern Munich — 11.1, Freiburg — 9.2.