The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Borussia Dortmund | Bayer Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 5 |
| Points | 12 | 7 |
| xPTS | 8.1 | 9.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.9 | −2.6 |
| xG per match | 2.15 | 2.61 |
| xGA per match | 1.06 | 0.85 |
| Scored | 9 | 10 |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 |
By quality of play Bayer Leverkusen is ahead: 9.6 xPTS against 8.1. In the table the gap is 5 points. The gap between points and play — Borussia Dortmund: +3.9, Bayer Leverkusen: −2.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Borussia Dortmund — 10.3, Bayer Leverkusen — 10.9.