The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Athletic Club | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 10 | 11 |
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPTS | 12.2 | 11.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −4.2 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 1.88 | 1.35 |
| xGA per match | 1.28 | 1.36 |
| Scored | 7 | 11 |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 |
By quality of play they are level: 12.2 xPTS against 11.6. The gap between points and play — Athletic Club: −4.2, Espanyol: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Athletic Club — 10.5, Espanyol — 5.9.