The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Auxerre | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 10 | 11 |
| Points | 6 | 5 |
| xPTS | 5.7 | 9.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.3 | −4.8 |
| xG per match | 1.37 | 2.17 |
| xGA per match | 2.14 | 1.16 |
| Scored | 7 | 7 |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 |
By quality of play Brest is ahead: 9.8 xPTS against 5.7. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Auxerre: +0.3, Brest: −4.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Auxerre — 4.8, Brest — 10.1.