The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Strasbourg | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 7 | 6 |
| xPTS | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.4 | +0.8 |
| xG per match | 1.29 | 1.56 |
| xGA per match | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| Scored | 10 | 9 |
| Conceded | 10 | 9 |
By quality of play they are level: 4.6 xPTS against 5.2. The gap between points and play — Strasbourg: +2.4, Le Mans: +0.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Strasbourg — 4.9, Le Mans — 5.5.