The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Paris FC | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 4 |
| Points | 11 | 10 |
| xPTS | 11.1 | 6.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.1 | +3.9 |
| xG per match | 1.89 | 1.48 |
| xGA per match | 0.66 | 1.78 |
| Scored | 8 | 8 |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
By quality of play Paris FC is ahead: 11.1 xPTS against 6.1. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Paris FC: −0.1, Lille: +3.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Paris FC — 10.8, Lille — 5.7.