The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Monaco | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 2 |
| Points | 13 | 11 |
| xPTS | 6.8 | 9.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +6.2 | +1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.23 | 1.99 |
| xGA per match | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| Scored | 8 | 10 |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
By quality of play Lyon is ahead: 9.2 xPTS against 6.8. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Monaco: +6.2, Lyon: +1.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Monaco — 6.0, Lyon — 7.9.