The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lille | Rennes | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| xPTS | 6.1 | 7.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.9 | +2.5 |
| xG per match | 1.48 | 2.08 |
| xGA per match | 1.78 | 2.03 |
| Scored | 8 | 6 |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 |
By quality of play Rennes is ahead: 7.5 xPTS against 6.1. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Lille: +3.9, Rennes: +2.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lille — 5.7, Rennes — 8.4.