The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lyon | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 3 |
| Points | 11 | 11 |
| xPTS | 9.2 | 11.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.8 | −0.1 |
| xG per match | 1.99 | 1.89 |
| xGA per match | 1.18 | 0.66 |
| Scored | 10 | 8 |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 |
By quality of play Paris FC is ahead: 11.1 xPTS against 9.2. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Lyon: +1.8, Paris FC: −0.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lyon — 7.9, Paris FC — 10.8.