The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lens | Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 15 | 16 |
| Points | 4 | 4 |
| xPTS | 8.8 | 4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −4.8 | +0.1 |
| xG per match | 2.5 | 1.24 |
| xGA per match | 1.66 | 2.1 |
| Scored | 9 | 4 |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 |
By quality of play Lens is ahead: 8.8 xPTS against 4.0. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Lens: −4.8, Troyes: +0.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lens — 9.0, Troyes — 4.2.