Pitch Radar

Paris FC

Ligue 1 · France · season 2026/27 · 10 matches · 6W 2D 2L
Place3 of 18
Points20
xPTS19.8
Δ points − xPTS+0.2
Scored / xG17 / 17.6
Conceded / xGA10 / 8.7

Next match

Paris FC
VS
Angers

Angers · at home, 22 Nov 2026
Win 79% · draw 14% · defeat 7%

The match in numbers →

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A kind run.

What the numbers say

Points. 20 points from 19.8 xPTS (+0.2). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 2nd in the league, but 3rd in the table. Points match the quality of play. On top of that, finishing falls short (−0.6 vs xG) and more goals conceded than expected (+1.3 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.76 xG per match — 7th of 18 (league average 1.59): an average attack for this league. Scored 17 goals from 17.6 xG — finishing is on par. What they create is what they score.

Defence. 0.87 xGA per match — 1st of 18 for solidity (league average 1.59): allows less in front of its own goal than anyone in the league. Conceded 10 goals from 8.7 xGA — 15% more than expected. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.

Playing to its level. Points (20) are close to the quality of play (19.8 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

01020 1 10 round 1: 0:0, Points 1, xPTS 2.5round 2: 3:0, Points 4, xPTS 5.3round 3: 3:2, Points 7, xPTS 7.7round 4: 0:0, Points 8, xPTS 9.2round 5: 2:1, Points 11, xPTS 11.2round 6: 0:1, Points 11, xPTS 12.8round 7: 4:3, Points 14, xPTS 14.2round 8: 1:2, Points 14, xPTS 15.6round 9: 3:1, Points 17, xPTS 18.3round 10: 1:0, Points 20, xPTS 19.8
Points 20 xPTS 19.8 points are 0.2 ahead of performance

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 2.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 2.00. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 10.0 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

OpponentVenueDateWinDrawDefeatExpected points
Angershome2026-11-2279%14%7%2.50
Brestaway2026-11-2734%27%39%1.29
Le Manshome2026-12-0578%14%8%2.48
Paris Saint-Germainaway2026-12-1234%26%41%1.27
Le Havrehome2027-01-0276%15%9%2.44

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Paris FC and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

PlaceClubPPointsxPTSΔ
1Paris Saint-Germain102320.1+2.9
2Lille102113.8+7.3
3Paris FC102019.8+0.2
4Marseille101812.4+5.6
5Lyon101716.2+0.8

Full Ligue 1 xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league