The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Marseille | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 3 | 2 |
| xPTS | 5.3 | 4.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.3 | −2.4 |
| xG per match | 1.7 | 1.31 |
| xGA per match | 2.43 | 2.06 |
| Scored | 7 | 4 |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 |
By quality of play they are level: 5.3 xPTS against 4.4. The gap between points and play — Marseille: −2.3, Le Havre: −2.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Marseille — 5.1, Le Havre — 5.4.