The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Nice | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 5 | 4 |
| xPTS | 4.1 | 8.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.9 | −4.8 |
| xG per match | 1.09 | 2.5 |
| xGA per match | 1.96 | 1.66 |
| Scored | 3 | 9 |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
By quality of play Lens is ahead: 8.8 xPTS against 4.1. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Nice: +0.9, Lens: −4.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Nice — 3.7, Lens — 9.0.