The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Nice | Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 15 | 16 |
| Points | 5 | 4 |
| xPTS | 4.1 | 4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.9 | +0.1 |
| xG per match | 1.09 | 1.24 |
| xGA per match | 1.96 | 2.1 |
| Scored | 3 | 4 |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 |
By quality of play they are level: 4.1 xPTS against 4.0. The gap between points and play — Nice: +0.9, Troyes: +0.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Nice — 3.7, Troyes — 4.3.