The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Troyes | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 16 | 17 |
| Points | 4 | 3 |
| xPTS | 4 | 5.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.1 | −2.3 |
| xG per match | 1.24 | 1.7 |
| xGA per match | 2.1 | 2.43 |
| Scored | 4 | 7 |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 |
By quality of play Marseille is ahead: 5.3 xPTS against 4.0. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Troyes: +0.1, Marseille: −2.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Troyes — 4.2, Marseille — 5.1.