The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| CSKA Moscow | Zenit | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 19 | 18 |
| xPTS | 15.9 | 15.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.1 | +2.9 |
| xG per match | 1.65 | 1.44 |
| xGA per match | 1.19 | 1 |
| Scored | 15 | 19 |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 |
By quality of play they are level: 15.9 xPTS against 15.1. The gap between points and play — CSKA Moscow: +3.1, Zenit: +2.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: CSKA Moscow — 7.4, Zenit — 8.5.