The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Spartak Moscow | Dynamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 3 |
| Points | 19 | 19 |
| xPTS | 18.3 | 15.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.7 | +3.5 |
| xG per match | 1.72 | 1.43 |
| xGA per match | 0.68 | 0.94 |
| Scored | 16 | 14 |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
By quality of play Spartak Moscow is ahead: 18.3 xPTS against 15.5. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Spartak Moscow: +0.7, Dynamo Moscow: +3.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Spartak Moscow — 10.8, Dynamo Moscow — 9.1.