The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Akhmat Grozny | Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 10 | 11 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 11.5 | 13.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.5 | −4.3 |
| xG per match | 1.05 | 1.08 |
| xGA per match | 1.16 | 0.89 |
| Scored | 13 | 7 |
| Conceded | 13 | 10 |
By quality of play Orenburg is ahead: 13.3 xPTS against 11.5. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Akhmat Grozny: −1.5, Orenburg: −4.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Akhmat Grozny — 6.2, Orenburg — 7.7.