The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Krylia Sovetov | Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 11 | 10 |
| xPTS | 12.6 | 11.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.6 | −1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.33 | 1.05 |
| xGA per match | 1.25 | 1.16 |
| Scored | 13 | 13 |
| Conceded | 14 | 13 |
By quality of play Krylia Sovetov is ahead: 12.6 xPTS against 11.5. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Krylia Sovetov: −1.6, Akhmat Grozny: −1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Krylia Sovetov — 7.1, Akhmat Grozny — 6.2.