The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Zenit | Rubin Kazan | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 18 | 12 |
| xPTS | 15.1 | 10.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.9 | +1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.44 | 0.99 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 1.31 |
| Scored | 19 | 12 |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 |
By quality of play Zenit is ahead: 15.1 xPTS against 10.3. In the table the gap is 6 points. The gap between points and play — Zenit: +2.9, Rubin Kazan: +1.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Zenit — 8.5, Rubin Kazan — 5.7.