The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bologna | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 18 | 19 |
| Points | 2 | 1 |
| xPTS | 8 | 4.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −6.0 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 1.43 | 0.97 |
| xGA per match | 1.21 | 1.58 |
| Scored | 3 | 3 |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 |
By quality of play Bologna is ahead: 8.0 xPTS against 4.6. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Bologna: −6.0, Genoa: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bologna — 7.3, Genoa — 4.9.