The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Cagliari | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 6 |
| Points | 12 | 10 |
| xPTS | 5.8 | 5.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +6.2 | +4.8 |
| xG per match | 1.09 | 1.62 |
| xGA per match | 1.75 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 5 | 9 |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
By quality of play they are level: 5.8 xPTS against 5.2. The gap between points and play — Cagliari: +6.2, Frosinone: +4.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Cagliari — 2.7, Frosinone — 7.6.