The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Fiorentina | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 4 | 2 |
| xPTS | 6.3 | 8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.3 | −6.0 |
| xG per match | 1.53 | 1.43 |
| xGA per match | 1.93 | 1.21 |
| Scored | 6 | 3 |
| Conceded | 12 | 6 |
By quality of play Bologna is ahead: 8.0 xPTS against 6.3. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Fiorentina: −2.3, Bologna: −6.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Fiorentina — 5.7, Bologna — 7.3.