The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Borussia Dortmund was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 1.31 | +0.7 | 1.51 |
| Hamburger SV | 0 | 1.11 | −1.1 | 1.21 |
Borussia Dortmund: +3.9 for the season (1 in the table). Hamburger SV: +0.2 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.