Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV 2:0

Borussia Dortmund

2:0

Hamburger SV

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Borussia Dortmund was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Borussia Dortmund	2	1.31	+0.7	1.51
Hamburger SV	0	1.11	−1.1	1.22

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
8'	Serhou Guirassy	Borussia Dortmund	0.08	Konstantinos Karetsas
45'	Sebastiaan Bornauw (own goal)	Borussia Dortmund	—

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
58'	Patson Daka	Hamburger SV	0.32	off target
93'	Terem Igobor Moffi	Hamburger SV	0.30	saved
48'	Patson Daka	Hamburger SV	0.28	off target, header

Shots: Borussia Dortmund 20, Hamburger SV 8; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Borussia Dortmund 0.89, Hamburger SV 0.00: a clear edge for Borussia Dortmund. In the second half xG was Borussia Dortmund 0.43, Hamburger SV 1.11: a small edge for Hamburger SV. The edge in chances passed from Borussia Dortmund to Hamburger SV. Hamburger SV scored 0 from 1.11 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Borussia Dortmund: +5.3 for the season (2 in the table). Hamburger SV: +3.9 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Union Berlin — Eintracht Frankfurt 3:31. FC Köln — Hoffenheim 3:2RB Leipzig — Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:0Mainz 05 — Paderborn 0:0Elversberg — Bayer Leverkusen 3:2

All Bundesliga matches with xG →