The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Elversberg won against the run of chances: Bayer Leverkusen created more (2.62 xG against 1.40).
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 3 | 1.40 | +1.6 | 0.74 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2.62 | −0.6 | 2.08 |
Elversberg: +3.6 for the season (7 in the table). Bayer Leverkusen: −2.6 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.