Union Berlin — Eintracht Frankfurt 3:3

Union Berlin

3:3

Eintracht Frankfurt

Bundesliga · 29 Aug 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score3:3

Home xG2.28Union Berlin

Away xG2.12Eintracht Frankfurt

Expected points1.49 : 1.31

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.16.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Union Berlin	3	2.28	+0.7	1.49
Eintracht Frankfurt	3	2.12	+0.9	1.31

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
2'	Emmanuel Latte Lath	Union Berlin	0.13	Josip Juranovic
9'	Younes Ebnoutalib	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.55
10'	Younes Ebnoutalib	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.34
66'	Younes Ebnoutalib	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.33	Elias Baum
78'	Leopold Querfeld	Union Berlin	0.34	Josip Juranovic
91'	Tim Skarke	Union Berlin	0.90	Leopold Querfeld

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
91'	Tim Skarke	Union Berlin	0.90	goal, from a set piece
9'	Younes Ebnoutalib	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.55	goal, from a corner
18'	Can Uzun	Eintracht Frankfurt	0.44	off target

Shots: Union Berlin 19, Eintracht Frankfurt 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Union Berlin 0.22, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.48: a clear edge for Eintracht Frankfurt. In the second half xG was Union Berlin 2.11, Eintracht Frankfurt 0.68: a clear edge for Union Berlin. The edge in chances passed from Eintracht Frankfurt to Union Berlin.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Union Berlin: −0.2 for the season (16 in the table). Eintracht Frankfurt: +0.9 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.