Mainz 05 — Paderborn 0:0

Mainz 05

0:0

Paderborn

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Mainz 05 created more (1.55 xG against 0.69) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Mainz 05	0	1.55	−1.6	2.00
Paderborn	0	0.69	−0.7	0.75

Goals

There were no goals in this match.

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
83'	Phillip Tietz	Mainz 05	0.33	off target, header
24'	Laurin Curda	Paderborn	0.29	off target
23'	Jae-Sung Lee	Mainz 05	0.20	off target, header

Shots: Mainz 05 22, Paderborn 10; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Mainz 05 0.62, Paderborn 0.53: about even. In the second half xG was Mainz 05 0.92, Paderborn 0.16: a small edge for Mainz 05. Mainz 05 scored 0 from 1.55 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Mainz 05: −4.8 for the season (12 in the table). Paderborn: +0.6 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Union Berlin — Eintracht Frankfurt 3:31. FC Köln — Hoffenheim 3:2RB Leipzig — Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:0Elversberg — Bayer Leverkusen 3:2Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV 2:0

All Bundesliga matches with xG →