The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: 1. FC Köln was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 3 | 2.31 | +0.7 | 1.62 |
| Hoffenheim | 2 | 1.92 | +0.1 | 1.18 |
1. FC Köln: −1.8 for the season (13 in the table). Hoffenheim: −2.8 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.