1. FC Köln — Hoffenheim 3:2
1. FC Köln3:2
HoffenheimThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score3:2
Home xG2.311. FC Köln
Away xG1.92Hoffenheim
Expected points1.62 : 1.18
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: 1. FC Köln was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 3 | 2.31 | +0.7 | 1.62 |
| Hoffenheim | 2 | 1.92 | +0.1 | 1.18 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26' | Adam Daghim | Hoffenheim | 0.03 | Bambasé Conté |
| 50' | Said El Mala | 1. FC Köln | 0.42 | |
| 66' | Ozan Kabak | Hoffenheim | 0.08 | Vladimir Coufal |
| 71' | Thijs Dallinga | 1. FC Köln | 0.36 | Linton Maina |
| 81' | Thijs Dallinga | 1. FC Köln | 0.05 |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80' | Tom Krauß | 1. FC Köln | 0.44 | saved |
| 50' | Said El Mala | 1. FC Köln | 0.42 | goal |
| 85' | Bambasé Conté | Hoffenheim | 0.40 | off target |
Shots: 1. FC Köln 18, Hoffenheim 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 3.
How the game went
In the first half xG was 1. FC Köln 0.60, Hoffenheim 0.12: a small edge for 1. FC Köln. In the second half xG was 1. FC Köln 1.72, Hoffenheim 1.80: about even.
How it fits the season
1. FC Köln: −5.0 for the season (15 in the table). Hoffenheim: −2.3 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Union Berlin — 
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:3
RB Leipzig — 
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:0
Mainz 05 — 
Paderborn 0:0
Elversberg — 
Bayer Leverkusen 3:2
Borussia Dortmund — 
Hamburger SV 2:0