Hoffenheim — Borussia Dortmund 2:3
Hoffenheim2:3
Borussia DortmundThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score2:3
Home xG2.17Hoffenheim
Away xG2.02Borussia Dortmund
Expected points1.48 : 1.31
Who deserved it
Hoffenheim created more (2.17 xG against 2.02) and left with nothing.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | 2 | 2.17 | −0.2 | 1.48 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2.02 | +1.0 | 1.31 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44' | Leon Avdullahu | Hoffenheim | 0.02 | Vladimir Coufal |
| 53' | Tim Lemperle | Hoffenheim | 0.48 | Adam Daghim |
| 60' | Serhou Guirassy | Borussia Dortmund | 0.33 | Waldemar Anton |
| 65' | Fabio Silva | Borussia Dortmund | 0.22 | Serhou Guirassy |
| 86' | Albian Hajdari (own goal) | Borussia Dortmund | — |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22' | Maximilian Beier | Borussia Dortmund | 0.90 | saved, header |
| 53' | Tim Lemperle | Hoffenheim | 0.48 | goal |
| 33' | Adam Hlozek | Hoffenheim | 0.40 | saved, header |
Shots: Hoffenheim 18, Borussia Dortmund 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 2.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Hoffenheim 1.10, Borussia Dortmund 1.09: about even. In the second half xG was Hoffenheim 1.07, Borussia Dortmund 0.93: about even.
How it fits the season
Hoffenheim: −2.3 for the season (9 in the table). Borussia Dortmund: +5.3 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Werder Bremen — 
RB Leipzig 3:1
Bayer Leverkusen — 
Union Berlin 4:0
Paderborn — 
Freiburg 0:1
Borussia Mönchengladbach — 
Elversberg 3:4
Schalke 04 — 
Bayern Munich 0:0