The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Elversberg was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 2.89 | +0.1 | 1.35 |
| Elversberg | 4 | 3.03 | +1.0 | 1.48 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach: −2.8 for the season (18 in the table). Elversberg: +3.6 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.