The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Bayern Munich created more (2.05 xG against 0.25) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 | 0 | 0.25 | −0.2 | 0.27 |
| Bayern Munich | 0 | 2.05 | −2.0 | 2.58 |
Schalke 04: +0.7 for the season (11 in the table). Bayern Munich: −1.0 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.