Paderborn — Freiburg 0:1

Paderborn

0:1

Freiburg

Bundesliga · 5 Sep 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score0:1

Home xG0.73Paderborn

Away xG1.17Freiburg

Expected points1.00 : 1.70

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Freiburg was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Paderborn	0	0.73	−0.7	1.00
Freiburg	1	1.17	−0.2	1.70

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
25'	Maximilian Eggestein	Freiburg	0.33

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
25'	Maximilian Eggestein	Freiburg	0.33	goal
1'	Laurin Ulrich	Paderborn	0.14	blocked
62'	Marvin Pieringer	Paderborn	0.14	off target

Shots: Paderborn 14, Freiburg 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Paderborn 0.25, Freiburg 0.98: a small edge for Freiburg. In the second half xG was Paderborn 0.48, Freiburg 0.22: about even.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Paderborn: +0.6 for the season (13 in the table). Freiburg: +2.2 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Borussia Dortmund 2:3

Borussia Mönchengladbach —

Elversberg 3:4

Schalke 04 —

Bayern Munich 0:0

All Bundesliga matches with xG →