Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig 3:1

Werder Bremen

3:1

RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · 5 Sep 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score3:1

Home xG0.85Werder Bremen

Away xG1.58RB Leipzig

Expected points0.86 : 1.89

Who deserved it

RB Leipzig created more (1.58 xG against 0.85) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Werder Bremen	3	0.85	+2.1	0.86
RB Leipzig	1	1.58	−0.6	1.89

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
3'	Eren Sami Dinkci	Werder Bremen	0.45	Chuki
67'	Niclas Füllkrug	Werder Bremen	0.02	Marco Grüll
79'	Marco Grüll	Werder Bremen	0.05
94'	Bote Baku	RB Leipzig	0.54	Andrija Maksimovic

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
94'	Bote Baku	RB Leipzig	0.54	goal, header
3'	Eren Sami Dinkci	Werder Bremen	0.45	goal
55'	Willi Orban	RB Leipzig	0.27	off target, header, from a set piece

Shots: Werder Bremen 12, RB Leipzig 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Werder Bremen 0.49, RB Leipzig 0.31: about even. In the second half xG was Werder Bremen 0.35, RB Leipzig 1.25: a clear edge for RB Leipzig. Werder Bremen scored 3 from 0.85 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.