The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Bayer Leverkusen was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3.39 | +0.6 | 2.86 |
| Union Berlin | 0 | 0.25 | −0.2 | 0.09 |
Bayer Leverkusen: −2.6 for the season (5 in the table). Union Berlin: −1.2 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.