Arsenal — Leeds United 2:1

Arsenal

2:1

Leeds United

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Arsenal was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Arsenal	2	2.32	−0.3	2.06
Leeds United	1	1.20	−0.2	0.75

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
54'	James Justin	Leeds United	0.25	Gabriel Gudmundsson
61'	Riccardo Calafiori	Arsenal	0.58	Ben White
69'	Bruno Guimarães	Arsenal	0.06	Declan Rice

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
82'	Martin Odegaard	Arsenal	0.62	saved
61'	Riccardo Calafiori	Arsenal	0.58	goal
26'	Jayden Bogle	Leeds United	0.47	saved

Shots: Arsenal 13, Leeds United 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Arsenal 0.50, Leeds United 0.89: a small edge for Leeds United. In the second half xG was Arsenal 1.82, Leeds United 0.31: a big edge for Arsenal. The edge in chances passed from Leeds United to Arsenal.

How it fits the season

Arsenal: +8.0 for the season (1 in the table). Leeds United: +0.1 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Aston Villa — Brentford 2:2Chelsea — Bournemouth 5:1Ipswich Town — Fulham 2:1Sunderland — Brighton 0:2Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur 1:1

All EPL matches with xG →