Manchester United — Tottenham Hotspur 1:1

Manchester United

1:1

Tottenham Hotspur

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Tottenham Hotspur created more (2.03 xG against 0.87) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Manchester United	1	0.87	+0.1	0.66
Tottenham Hotspur	1	2.03	−1.0	2.13

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
72'	Bryan Mbeumo	Manchester United	0.09	Matheus Cunha
91'	Dominic Solanke	Tottenham Hotspur	0.36	Sandro Tonali

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
41'	Conor Gallagher	Tottenham Hotspur	0.52	saved
91'	Dominic Solanke	Tottenham Hotspur	0.36	goal, header
2'	Dominic Solanke	Tottenham Hotspur	0.35	saved

Shots: Manchester United 12, Tottenham Hotspur 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Manchester United 0.06, Tottenham Hotspur 1.15: a clear edge for Tottenham Hotspur. In the second half xG was Manchester United 0.80, Tottenham Hotspur 0.89: about even. Tottenham Hotspur scored 1 from 2.03 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Manchester United: −4.5 for the season (18 in the table). Tottenham Hotspur: −2.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Arsenal — Leeds United 2:1Aston Villa — Brentford 2:2Chelsea — Bournemouth 5:1Ipswich Town — Fulham 2:1Sunderland — Brighton 0:2

All EPL matches with xG →