Aston Villa — Brentford 2:2
Aston Villa2:2
BrentfordThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score2:2
Home xG1.84Aston Villa
Away xG1.28Brentford
Expected points1.74 : 1.03
Who deserved it
A draw, but Aston Villa created more (1.84 xG against 1.28) — points dropped.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 2 | 1.84 | +0.2 | 1.74 |
| Brentford | 2 | 1.28 | +0.7 | 1.03 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9' | Yehor Yarmolyuk | Brentford | 0.07 | |
| 11' | Nicolas Jackson | Aston Villa | 0.39 | |
| 76' | John McGinn | Aston Villa | 0.05 | Johan Manzambi |
| 78' | Kristoffer Ajer | Brentford | 0.41 | Jaidon Anthony |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49' | John McGinn | Aston Villa | 0.43 | saved |
| 78' | Kristoffer Ajer | Brentford | 0.41 | goal |
| 11' | Nicolas Jackson | Aston Villa | 0.39 | goal |
Shots: Aston Villa 20, Brentford 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 1.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Aston Villa 0.73, Brentford 0.31: a small edge for Aston Villa. In the second half xG was Aston Villa 1.14, Brentford 0.97: about even.
How it fits the season
Aston Villa: +2.5 for the season (10 in the table). Brentford: +0.9 (8). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Arsenal — 
Leeds United 2:1
Chelsea — 
Bournemouth 5:1
Ipswich Town — 
Fulham 2:1
Sunderland — 
Brighton 0:2
Manchester United — 
Tottenham Hotspur 1:1