Ipswich Town — Fulham 2:1
Ipswich Town2:1
FulhamThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score2:1
Home xG1.26Ipswich Town
Away xG1.78Fulham
Expected points1.05 : 1.72
Who deserved it
Fulham created more (1.78 xG against 1.26) and left with nothing.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | 2 | 1.26 | +0.7 | 1.05 |
| Fulham | 1 | 1.78 | −0.8 | 1.72 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54' | Ryan Sessegnon | Fulham | 0.02 | |
| 87' | Guemissongui Ouattara | Ipswich Town | 0.01 | |
| 90' | Dara O'Shea | Ipswich Town | 0.55 | Jack Clarke |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90' | Dara O'Shea | Ipswich Town | 0.55 | goal, header, from a set piece |
| 57' | Oscar Bobb | Fulham | 0.49 | off target |
| 52' | Gonzalo García | Fulham | 0.45 | blocked |
Shots: Ipswich Town 11, Fulham 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Ipswich Town 0.05, Fulham 0.42: a small edge for Fulham. In the second half xG was Ipswich Town 1.20, Fulham 1.36: about even.
How it fits the season
Ipswich Town: +0.8 for the season (14 in the table). Fulham: −3.9 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Arsenal — 
Leeds United 2:1
Aston Villa — 
Brentford 2:2
Chelsea — 
Bournemouth 5:1
Sunderland — 
Brighton 0:2
Manchester United — 
Tottenham Hotspur 1:1