Chelsea — Hull City 2:2

Chelsea

2:2

Hull City

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Hull City created more (1.80 xG against 1.21) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Chelsea	2	1.21	+0.8	1.00
Hull City	2	1.80	+0.2	1.77

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
6'	Morgan Rogers	Chelsea	0.11	João Pedro
27'	Mohamed Belloumi	Hull City	0.28	Ryan John Giles
33'	Mohamed Belloumi	Hull City	0.04	Oliver McBurnie
65'	João Pedro	Chelsea	0.45	Cole Palmer

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
60'	Oliver McBurnie	Hull City	0.61	saved
65'	João Pedro	Chelsea	0.45	goal
86'	Mohamed Ali-Cho	Hull City	0.34	saved

Shots: Chelsea 12, Hull City 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Chelsea 0.18, Hull City 0.68: a small edge for Hull City. In the second half xG was Chelsea 1.03, Hull City 1.14: about even.

How it fits the season

Chelsea: +3.2 for the season (5 in the table). Hull City: +2.0 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Bournemouth — Brentford 2:2Aston Villa — Nottingham Forest 1:2Crystal Palace — Ipswich Town 2:3Liverpool — Fulham 0:0Tottenham Hotspur — Everton 0:0Sunderland — Arsenal 0:2

All EPL matches with xG →