The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Ipswich Town was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 2 | 0.94 | +1.1 | 0.70 |
| Ipswich Town | 3 | 2.03 | +1.0 | 2.09 |
Crystal Palace: −1.4 for the season (15 in the table). Ipswich Town: +0.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.