Crystal Palace — Ipswich Town 2:3

Crystal Palace

2:3

Ipswich Town

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Ipswich Town was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Crystal Palace	2	0.94	+1.1	0.71
Ipswich Town	3	2.03	+1.0	2.09

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
13'	Anan Khalaili	Crystal Palace	0.04	Daichi Kamada
22'	Emersonn	Ipswich Town	0.39	Leif Davis
44'	Leif Davis	Ipswich Town	0.47	Emersonn
74'	Jørgen Strand Larsen	Crystal Palace	0.07	Daichi Kamada
89'	Zian Flemming	Ipswich Town	0.64

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
89'	Zian Flemming	Ipswich Town	0.64	goal
44'	Leif Davis	Ipswich Town	0.47	goal, header
78'	Anan Khalaili	Crystal Palace	0.40	off target

Shots: Crystal Palace 11, Ipswich Town 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Crystal Palace 0.17, Ipswich Town 0.98: a clear edge for Ipswich Town. In the second half xG was Crystal Palace 0.76, Ipswich Town 1.10: a small edge for Ipswich Town. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Crystal Palace scored 2 from 0.94 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Crystal Palace: −2.5 for the season (20 in the table). Ipswich Town: +0.8 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Bournemouth — Brentford 2:2Aston Villa — Nottingham Forest 1:2Chelsea — Hull City 2:2Liverpool — Fulham 0:0Tottenham Hotspur — Everton 0:0Sunderland — Arsenal 0:2

All EPL matches with xG →