Sunderland — Arsenal 0:2

Sunderland

0:2

Arsenal

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Sunderland created more (2.07 xG against 1.99) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Sunderland	0	2.07	−2.1	1.44
Arsenal	2	1.99	+0.0	1.35

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
57'	Bruno Guimarães	Arsenal	0.03	Declan Rice
96'	Bukayo Saka (penalty)	Arsenal	0.76

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
75'	Nordi Mukiele	Sunderland	0.49	blocked
83'	Nordi Mukiele	Sunderland	0.48	saved, from a corner
30'	Kai Havertz	Arsenal	0.38	off target

Shots: Sunderland 12, Arsenal 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Sunderland 0.12, Arsenal 0.93: a clear edge for Arsenal. In the second half xG was Sunderland 1.95, Arsenal 1.07: a clear edge for Sunderland. The edge in chances passed from Arsenal to Sunderland. Sunderland scored 0 from 2.07 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Sunderland: −6.2 for the season (19 in the table). Arsenal: +8.0 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Bournemouth — Brentford 2:2Aston Villa — Nottingham Forest 1:2Chelsea — Hull City 2:2Crystal Palace — Ipswich Town 2:3Liverpool — Fulham 0:0Tottenham Hotspur — Everton 0:0

All EPL matches with xG →