The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Bournemouth created more (2.55 xG against 0.79) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 2 | 2.55 | −0.5 | 2.41 |
| Brentford | 2 | 0.79 | +1.2 | 0.44 |
Bournemouth: −4.8 for the season (17 in the table). Brentford: +0.6 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.