The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A draw, but Everton created more (1.60 xG against 0.74) — points dropped.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur | 0 | 0.74 | −0.7 | 0.76 |
| Everton | 0 | 1.60 | −1.6 | 1.99 |
Tottenham Hotspur: −3.5 for the season (20 in the table). Everton: +1.4 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.