Pitch Radar

Elche vs Sevilla: match prediction

Elche
VS
Sevilla
LaLiga · Round 16 · 13 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win37%Elche
Draw26%
Away win37%Sevilla
Expected points, home1.36

What to expect

No clear favourite: 37% home, 26% draw, 37% away. Attack against defence: Sevilla should create more, 1.59 expected goals a match against 1.39. Elche are 3.7 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Elche18121013.7−3.71.311.92
Sevilla6121815.5+2.51.261.46

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions