The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 30% home, 32% draw, 38% away. Attack against defence: Valencia should create more, 1.38 expected goals a match against 1.19. Valencia are 5.2 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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