Osasuna vs Villarreal: match prediction
OsasunaVS
VillarrealThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win20%Osasuna
Draw20%
Away win60%Villarreal
Expected points, home0.81
What to expect
Villarreal are favourites: 60% to win against 20%. Attack against defence: Villarreal should create more, 1.98 expected goals a match against 1.29. Villarreal are 7.0 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 16 | 12 | 12 | 14.8 | −2.8 | 1.30 | 1.71 |
| Villarreal | 8 | 12 | 15 | 22.0 | −7.0 | 2.24 | 1.28 |
Recent matches
Osasuna — 
Athletic Club 1:1
Deportivo La Coruna — Osasuna 2:1
Sevilla — Osasuna 2:0Osasuna — 
Racing Santander 2:0
Real Betis — Osasuna 5:2Villarreal — 
Getafe 2:0Villarreal — 
Espanyol 0:1
Valencia — Villarreal 1:2Villarreal — 
Elche 0:0
Real Madrid — Villarreal 1:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions