Pitch Radar

Sevilla vs Racing Santander: match prediction

Sevilla
VS
Racing Santander
LaLiga · Round 17 · 20 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win56%Sevilla
Draw22%
Away win23%Racing Santander
Expected points, home1.89

What to expect

Sevilla are favourites: 56% to win against 23%. Attack against defence: Sevilla should create more, 1.74 expected goals a match against 1.46. Read the table with care: Sevilla have taken 2.5 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Sevilla6121815.5+2.51.261.46
Racing Santander10121413.7+0.31.452.22

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All LaLiga matches with xG → · Full LaLiga xPTS table → · LaLiga: next round predictions