The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 36% home, 23% draw, 41% away. Attack against defence: Real Betis should create more, 1.77 expected goals a match against 1.53. Read the table with care: Real Betis have taken 6.8 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 5 | 8 | 14 | 10.5 | +3.5 | 1.32 | 1.56 |
| Real Betis | 3 | 8 | 19 | 12.2 | +6.8 | 1.98 | 1.74 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.