Le Havre vs Le Mans: match prediction
Le HavreVS
Le MansThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win50%Le Havre
Draw21%
Away win29%Le Mans
Expected points, home1.71
What to expect
A slight edge to Le Havre: 50% against 29%. Attack against defence: level, 1.75 and 1.69 expected goals a match. Le Havre are 8.0 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
Recent matches
Le Havre — 
Lorient 0:2Le Havre — 
Paris Saint Germain 1:5
Marseille — Le Havre 4:3Le Havre — 
Auxerre 1:3
Lille — Le Havre 1:0Le Mans — 
Monaco 1:1
Troyes — Le Mans 2:0Auxerre — Le Mans 1:1Le Mans — 
Toulouse 0:3Paris Saint Germain — Le Mans 3:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions