Pitch Radar

Paris Saint-Germain — Le Mans 3:1

Paris Saint-Germain
3:1
Le Mans
Ligue 1 · 10 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score3:1
Home xG4.23Paris Saint-Germain
Away xG2.23Le Mans
Expected points2.27 : 0.61

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Paris Saint-Germain was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

TeamGoalsxGGoals − xGExpected points
Paris Saint-Germain34.23−1.22.27
Le Mans12.23−1.20.61

Goals

MinuteGoalTeamShot xGAssist
18'Beraldo (penalty)Paris Saint-Germain0.76
53'Louis MafoutaLe Mans0.47Lucas Calodat
60'Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain0.65
67'Maghnes AklioucheParis Saint-Germain0.05Warren Zaïre-Emery

Key chances

MinutePlayerTeamxGOutcome
60'Khvicha KvaratskheliaParis Saint-Germain0.65goal, from a set piece
28'Louis MafoutaLe Mans0.56saved
53'Louis MafoutaLe Mans0.47goal

Shots: Paris Saint-Germain 22, Le Mans 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 6 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Paris Saint-Germain 1.77, Le Mans 0.69: a clear edge for Paris Saint-Germain. In the second half xG was Paris Saint-Germain 2.47, Le Mans 1.58: a clear edge for Paris Saint-Germain. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Paris Saint-Germain scored 3 from 4.23 xG: fewer than they created. Le Mans scored 1 from 2.23 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.

How it fits the season

Paris Saint-Germain: +2.9 for the season (1 in the table). Le Mans: −1.7 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

All Ligue 1 matches with xG →